The Big Government theme cuts across and influences many of our other themes. In thinking about the future and searching for thematic tailwinds it is becoming much more important to understand the long-term priorities of governments. 

We are currently witnessing the beginning of a prolonged structural energy crisis caused by a poor understanding of what energy is and a lack of knowledge of our dependence on fossil fuels.

As we try to assess the longer-term implications of Russia’s vicious attack on Ukraine some conclusions come quickly and are hard to dispute. These are the known knowns.

There is definitely a sense of change in the air. The payments sector as such, will continue to see attractive growth for at least another 5 years, and likely for the rest of this decade.

We are deeply disturbed about the future of Ukraine and the western liberal order. However, it is also a time to reflect and consider what has brought Europe into this calamity.